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I agree that Wicked City will probably bomb. It also airs in ABC’s 10pm Tuesday deathslot right after AoS. AoS’ first three weeks were a 1.7, 1.6 and a 1.4 (granted that was the night of the debate). I don’t expect Wicked City to gain from AoS’ ratings. AoS itself is guaranteed a 4th Season renewal from the syndication Gods, while Wicked City is a newcomer.
I don’t know if I would completely rule out The Family. Both Resurrection and Secrets and Lies aired in that same timeslot during the same time of year, and both did well enough to get a 2nd Season. Granted, Resurrection did eventually get canceled after its 2nd Season. I don’t have the biggest expectations for it, but I’m leaving it at a tossup for now.
Regarding Of Kings & Prophets, I recall the main reason ABC pushed it back was because they wanted to retool it. Perhaps they do see a lot of potential in the show, but want to make sure its done right.
Believe it or not, this Season will already be a quarter done after this Sunday’s episode.
Starting to think that the real test will be how we perform in the second half.
I would also take a look at how their remaining new and returning dramas do. As you said, ABC won’t want to cancel too many dramas. OUAT’s advantage as of now is how badly Castle, Blood & Oil and Nashville are doing by comparison.
New Dramas:
Wicked City (Premieres October 27th)
The Catch (Mid-Season. It’s another Shondaland show, so it could be another hit)
The Family (Mid-Season. Supposed to be a part of the Sunday lineup. Probably Blood & Oil’s replacement)
Of Kings & Prophets (Supposedly Mid-Season. Was originally set to air on Sundays this Fall, but has been pushed back)Returning Dramas:
Secrets and Lies (Mid-Season. Probably won’t do spectacularly, based on how Season 1 did.)
Agent Carter (Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D’s Mid-Season bridge in the Winter)
American Crime (Mid-Season. Based on last Season’s lackluster ratings, I don’t expect Season 2 to do spectacular. Still a little puzzling that it managed to get renewed)Here’s both TVBTN and TVGR’s current predictions for this week:
http://tvbythenumbers.zap2it.com/2015/10/20/abc-renewcancel-standings-week-4-greys-anatomy/479229/
Both still have OUAT as “likely to be renewed”, but that was expected. Believe it or not, this Season will already be a quarter done after this Sunday’s episode.
Looks like the Magic Mirror is coming back #EvilRegaIs #OnceUponATime #OUAT pic.twitter.com/qq7rLsRe5z
— Larry Andreutti (@BastardSonVan) October 21, 2015
Just walked past Bridge Studios & saw a big blue room with the round table set!! #OUATfilming pic.twitter.com/R6Xg4gW8Wq
— Panther (@Panther0622) October 20, 2015
Watching the first Papa Hook dailies at lunch today! Awesomeness.
— Brigitte Hales (@InkTankGirl) October 20, 2015
Also, with the Dark Curse, crossing the border meant a memory wipe of some kind. Not this time. This time you turn into a tree, indicating a very different kind of spell.
Not necessary. Losing your memory while crossing the town border only applied to after the original curse broke at the end of Season 1. During the days of the curse in Season 1, something bad would happen to you before you were even able to cross the border. When the 2nd Dark Curse happened, crossing the town border instead would get you dragged into the woods by flying monkeys. You would then get bitten, and eventually transform into a flying monkey yourself. After Zelena was defeated, Elsa created an Ice Wall that prevented anybody from exiting the town. After Ingrid was defeated, some of Ingrid’s magic remained. The remaining magic meant that crossing the border would prevent you from crossing back over, but you would retain your memory. So it’s clear to see that Storybrooke always creates some sort of consequence for crossing the town line, possibly as a built-in measure to keep the magic and mystery of Storybrooke contained to the town itself.
Apparently Nurse Ratched AKA the Severe Nurse will be in at least 4 more upcoming episodes:
https://twitter.com/ingridtorrance/status/655637489818857473
